Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.000102 0.000114 0.000127 0.000142 0.000159 0.000177 0.000198
2024-10-20 0.000085 0.000102 0.000120 0.000143 0.000170 0.000200 0.000238
2024-10-27 0.000073 0.000092 0.000115 0.000144 0.000180 0.000224 0.000281
2024-11-03 0.000063 0.000083 0.000108 0.000142 0.000186 0.000242 0.000319
2024-11-10 0.000056 0.000077 0.000105 0.000144 0.000198 0.000268 0.000369
2024-11-17 0.000050 0.000071 0.000100 0.000143 0.000204 0.000288 0.000412
2024-11-24 0.000045 0.000067 0.000097 0.000144 0.000212 0.000310 0.000460
2024-12-01 0.000040 0.000062 0.000093 0.000142 0.000217 0.000327 0.000502
2024-12-08 0.000036 0.000057 0.000089 0.000141 0.000222 0.000345 0.000546
2024-12-15 0.000033 0.000054 0.000087 0.000141 0.000228 0.000365 0.000595
2024-12-22 0.000031 0.000051 0.000084 0.000141 0.000235 0.000385 0.000647
2024-12-29 0.000028 0.000049 0.000082 0.000141 0.000241 0.000407 0.000701
2025-01-05 0.000026 0.000046 0.000079 0.000140 0.000246 0.000425 0.000753
2025-01-12 0.000024 0.000044 0.000078 0.000140 0.000254 0.000450 0.000819
2025-01-19 0.000022 0.000042 0.000076 0.000141 0.000262 0.000477 0.000891
2025-01-26 0.000020 0.000039 0.000073 0.000139 0.000265 0.000494 0.000946
2025-02-02 0.000019 0.000038 0.000073 0.000142 0.000276 0.000527 0.001035
2025-02-09 0.000018 0.000036 0.000071 0.000141 0.000281 0.000548 0.001100
2025-02-16 0.000017 0.000035 0.000069 0.000141 0.000288 0.000574 0.001180
2025-02-23 0.000016 0.000033 0.000067 0.000140 0.000291 0.000593 0.001245
2025-03-02 0.000015 0.000031 0.000065 0.000139 0.000295 0.000613 0.001315
2025-03-09 0.000014 0.000030 0.000064 0.000138 0.000300 0.000637 0.001396
2025-03-16 0.000013 0.000029 0.000063 0.000139 0.000307 0.000664 0.001483